Last season was the first time Peterson missed an NFL game or failed to make the Pro Bowl, with both owing to his six-game PED suspension. Suggs logged 139 sacks, good for eighth all-time. Top-10 picks who make it to the Pro Bowl as rookies have a great track record. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. Hekker's case is interesting. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Joe Burrow. Joe Fortenbaugh isn't picking Odell Beckham Jr. to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but he expects Kevin Stefanski's scheme to improve the wide receiver's numbers in 2020. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. Barr made four consecutive Pro Bowls from 2015 to 2018, but it'll be tough for him to get the first-team All-Pro votes he'll need for Canton without racking up significant sack totals. Wait, Joe Burrow? You can't make the Hall of Fame while you're still in pads, but Mike Evans has been making his case over the past six seasons. Warren Moon played until he was 44. He has two first-team All-Pro appearances over the past five years, but it's likely too little, too late. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Of the 16 Hall-eligible first-rounders who were first-team All-Pros as rookies, nine are enshrined. Evans is on pace to join Randy Moss as the only other player in NFL history to open his career with six consecutive 1,000-yard receiving campaigns. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. Wentz's injury history this early in his career also doesn't bode well for his chances of playing deep into his 30s. Outside of that one year, though, he has three Pro Bowl nods, no first-team All-Pro spots and a 2-5 record in the postseason. He has the third most sacks through his age-25 season of any player since the league made it an official stat in 1982, trailing only Derrick Thomas and J.J. Watt. In other words, instead of trying to project their chances by guessing what they'll do in the future, I'm looking at what they've done so far, comparing them to players at similar points in their careers, and seeing how often players with those sorts of careers made it into the Hall of Fame. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. With the onset of COVID, the Pro Football Hall of Fame last year moved its annual board-of-selectors meeting from an in-person session the day before the Super Bowl to a virtual communication . Inside linebackers generally need to become Defensive Player of the Year candidates and earn multiple first-team All-Pro appearances to get serious consideration for Canton, but Edmunds is off to a great start. A starter from day one, Jackson was a first-team All-Pro while leading the league in interceptions in 2018. Lock (100%): QB Aaron Rodgers. He was nearly a lock after making four Pro Bowls and three first-team All-Pro nods across his first five seasons, but injuries have cost Thomas 20 games over the subsequent four years. If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. Hall of Fame Wide Receivers. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Peppers, who played for the Panthers (twice), Bears and Packers, ranks fourth on the NFLs all-time sack list with 159 and was also on the Halls All-Decade Team for the 2000s and 2010s. The induction process, like so many things, is on hold. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Kyler Murray, S Budda Baker. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. Even if he slows down from here on out, Miller's going to the Hall. He probably needs to keep that streak going for a couple more years or rack up another 15-sack campaign to move the needle to Likely. We present them here for purely educational purposes. In one of Coach Saban's press conferences, he spoke about some of the questions asked by the players to . The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. Seymour made it to seven Pro Bowls and three All-Pro teams and hasn't made it to the Hall of Fame, but Thomas was more conspicuous at safety and was a key member of a legendary defense. David has been supremely underrated during his career, but after earning a first-team All-Pro nod in 2013, he has made it to a lone Pro Bowl over the ensuing six seasons. Locks have a 100% chance of making it. He deserves it. Since 1970, 55 players who are eligible for Canton have hit that 8+2 mark, and 52 of them earned enshrinement. He is a three-time Defensive Player of the Year, joining Lawrence Taylor as the only three-time winners of the award. Thomas now has three Pro Bowls and two first-team All-Pro nods in four years, and while there might be some sort of drop-off if Brees retires, the Ohio State product did just fine with Teddy Bridgewater on the field in 2019. Work to do (10% to 39%): LB Tremaine Edmunds. Prescott has made two Pro Bowls over his first four seasons, but his best rsum point is winning Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2016. In a normal universe, we would be celebrating the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2020 right about now. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. SEA | TB | TEN | WSH. Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans is having himself a season. Buy Seahawks Tickets. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. Worthy Hall of Fame (HOF) NFL Wide Receivers: The shoo-ins Let's start by running through five obvious cases of overly-qualified receivers who have not yet been enshrined. You probably dont need me to tell you that in 2018 Moss became the most recent receiver to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. In the Super Bowl Era. QB Anthony Richardson rejects 'project label' entering combine, Texans terminate center Justin Britt's contract, Bun B, Badu, J.J. Watt celebrate RodeoHouston Southern Takeover. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. Goff took a major step backward in 2019 and doesn't appear to be on the same level as the other top quarterbacks in the conference. Fitzpatrick went from getting benched for the Dolphins in Week 1 to becoming a first-team All-Pro after his arrival in Pittsburgh; another year like 2019 will push him into Watt territory. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. If you think this is too early for the 2019 seventh overall pick, think again. Pouncey fits that magic 8+2 formula I mentioned earlier with regard to Atkins, and at 31, he should still have a couple more Pro Bowls in him. There aren't any Dolphins who would appear to have greater than a 10% chance of making the Hall of Fame. Only nine players have done that in league history; outside of Green, the only player of the bunch who isn't in the Hall of Fame or a lock to get in is offensive tackle Richmond Webb, who played a much less notable position. Browns star left tackle Joe Thomas and Jets greats Joe . Do you have a blog? If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. Ngakoue has deserved more attention and might get it in a new locale if the Jaguars honor his request and trade the 25-year-old before the season begins. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? "Nuk" has been a first-team All-Pro in each of his past three seasons, which is the sort of run that earns skill-position players a trip to Canton on their own. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Mark Ingram, OT Ronnie Stanley, DE Calais Campbell. You could also make the argument that Murray should be up a level after being taken with the No. Typically, there are between 45 and 50 Hall of Famers playing at any one time. The 2020 No. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. Harold Carmichael finished his career with 590 receptions and 79 touchdowns. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. All rights reserved. Rent the Hall. Ranking the top outlier contracts In related news, the Cowboys also have a running back likely bound for the Hall. I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. 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Tom Fears, WR, UCLA, 11th round, 103rd overall: The only Hall-eligible players drafted since 1970 who have five of those and aren't in the Hall are Alan Faneca and Zach Thomas. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Hes top-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, so hell get a gold jacket at some point, if not on the first ballot. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Players the Jaguars could target Peters might not be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he should get in eventually. He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. 260 players who could win MVP The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Lock (100%): RB Adrian Peterson. 1 min read. Heres what you need to know. Edelman's case rests entirely on playoff and Super Bowl production. Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. Its not at all random that hes become a big-time NFL player. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. Skeptics will point out that Rivers was 5-6 in the postseason and only made it as far as one AFC Championship Game, but he's also sixth in NFL history in passing yards and passing touchdowns. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. He started his career with seven Pro Bowls in seven seasons, which is rarefied air. . Through Week 9 of the 2019 season, Evans has played 85 career games. He joined the Chronicle in January 2015 as the online sports editor. Of the seven players eligible for the Hall of Fame who made it to the Pro Bowl in their age-21 campaign, six are in the Hall. Heres the top 10 in NFL and AFL history in receiving yardage through 85 games. Guy made only one Pro Bowl after turning 30, and Hekker probably needs a couple more All-Pro appearances to earn serious consideration. For a list of other positions, click here. He made only two Pro Bowls with the Cardinals, which was a farce. 2 pick was a four-time Pro Bowler and a three-time All-Pro during his five seasons in Detroit. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Joey Bosa, S Derwin James. Some players draw more attention after getting traded or signing a big extension, and Buckner did both this offseason.