This one was actually pretty entertaining for the first 30 minutes. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. There were great pieces, but the team was not performing at its peak. Jacksonville Jaguars +9000 (bet $10 to win $910 total), "Dont tell me what you think tell me whats in your portfolio. Trent Dilfer. The AFC North features two major Super Bowl threats in Baltimore and Cleveland. If we made Lance the starter or partial starter, it would hurt the 49ers' projection because the model assumes Lance is a little worse than Garoppolo, as of now. Allowed 173 yards per game on the ground lmao this1dude88 Chiefs 4 yr. ago That defense became dominant Their defense back in the day was shutting teams down and they had great leadership in Fran Tarkenton. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Denver got out to a 10-0 lead before Washington dropped a Super Bowl-record 35 points in the second quarter on the Broncos defense. Its the only Super Bowl where a member of the losing team won MVP. Including the next one. One yard away from not even being on this list, the 133 Titans were solid. Detroit has some work to do on the defensive side of the ball, a monumental task for new defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn (gave up a league-worst 112.4 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks in 2020). Matt Rhule is building something in Carolina as he enters his second year, taking a chance he can resurrect Sam Darnold's career. Dilfer bounced around many teams in his career, but he was lucky enough to helm the Baltimore Ravens to a Super Bowl victory on the strength of their history-making defense. Tom Brady led the offense with Randy Moss and Wes Welker to score 36.8 points per game. They had a four-game losing streak, two in overtime, they were actually really good on both offense and defense. The universe wont let the Vikings back in the Super Bowl because all of the ones they made in the 70s ended up being unwatchable. NFL fans would have to get used that kind of ending. That tops the 2020 Jaguars, who entered last season at 23% and ended up earning that No. Those numbers should improve under offensive coordinator Joe Brady, as the Panthers will find out if Darnold can become a franchise quarterback. Dick Vermeil's boys just missed out on the Lombardi Trophy with one bad day. The first half ended with James Harrisons lung-busting interception return. We've been projecting preseason chances to get the top draft picks only since 2018, but no team has entered the year more likely to walk away from the No. They play in an easy division and should be able to host a playoff game. New Orleans Saints +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), The most puzzling number on the board, as Im much lower on the Saints than this.. Arizona has the potential to shock the NFL and win 11-plus games, emerging victorious in a strong NFC West. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. The game itself may not be memorable but Marcus Allens 191-yard performance, which included the greatest run in Super Bowl history, pushes it into the top-30. ODonnell set Larry Browns family up for life with his dreadful performance. With a 19% chance to win the Super Bowl, the Chiefs are a bit above average for the league's favorite heading into the season. They have a new head coach, new offensive coordinator, new defensive coordinator, and rookie QB.. Matt Stafford, on the other hand, is learning a new offense, albeit with a smart coach and talented skill players. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at A special season in Tennessee could be in store. One team (Patriots) in the last 25 years has been to three straight.. It's all about the schedule. Yet I can see the defense making a Washington-type leap, and the offensive weapons are there for whoever wins the starting job. Because there is a salary cap. When teams win the players want raises forcing teams to lose some players. This is what is happening to Green Bay an And they do return all 11 starters on offense and defense., If they get by the Rams in Week 3, theyll be favored in every game the rest of the way, and youll regret not taking a flier that you can potentially hedge later., 2. The Kansas City Chiefs, winners of Super Bowl 57, are the favorites at +600. Those questions need to be answered in a division where the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers defenses reside. Jets, vs. Eagles, vs. Lions, vs. Bengals and a home-and-home with the Raiders. WebThe Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst, and he also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. The presence of Lawrence gives Jacksonville hope for the first time in years. 1 pick. A 14-win team with a top 10 offense and defense. 16. So why are they lower value-wise? That was by design. Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns.Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns! 20 David Tyree: 2008 Giants Known for his improbable catch in the Super Bowl and how it essentially won the Giants the game, it also hasn't been lost that Tyree was just a mediocre player at best, at any point during his career. Keep in mind, those numbers assume there is some chance Wentz plays in each of these games, particularly the later ones. Not to mention, Reggie White wrecking people on defense. Let's start in the 1980s, with a team led by Hall of Famers like Joe Montana, Jerry Rice and Steve Young For a franchise that was so consistently dominant in the 1980s, the 1988 version of the San Francisco 49ers sure seems mediocre. The model gains confidence because of all of the returning starters from an already good unit. Twelve franchises have never captured a Super Bowl title. The Rams are firmly in the mix this year. Tom Brady also led a top offense in his MVP season, finishing with a 133 regular-season record. Those numbers are buoyed by two factors: FPI projects them to have the best defense in the league. The Chiefs defense also surrendered 31 points. Herbert has immensely changed the fortunes of a franchise that mired in mediocrity during Philip Rivers' final years. Is this a bad thing?No, but it does not exactly make for one of the most dominant championship teams of all time. And the Chiefs would hold at least a 3.5-point edge over every team outside of the Bucs, Bills and Ravens. https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/01/2019-super-bowl-rankings-best-to-worst, a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs, Anthony Richardson showed off his freakish athleticism by breaking 2 NFL Combine records, Joey Porter Jr. shared a wholesome moment with dad Joey Porter at 2023 NFL Combine, Will Levis finally shared the origin story for his mayo coffee, How to watch the NFL Combine, live stream, TV channel, Quarterbacks, Receivers, Tight Ends, Bryce Young's measurements at the NFL Combine are almost identical to Kyler Murray's, C.J. With that criteria in mind, weve ranked every Super Bowl ever played from worst to first. They had a top 5 offense and defense. WebJim Caldwell is may be the worst coach to ever make it to the Super Bowl, but he didn't win. After power was restored, the 49ers turned what looked to be another big game blowout into a nail-biter that Baltimore won thanks to a goal line stand and some questionable San Francisco play-calling. Self care and ideas to help you live a healthier, happier life. The Jaguars and Jets are back-to-back in FPI's rankings -- at Nos. It helps that the Browns arguably have a top three offensive line in football (if not the best). A step up from the traditional method is to look at the mean win total for every team's opponents, but this too has an issue; for instance, every Chiefs opponent's win total is depressed because it has to play the Chiefs (division opponents doubly so! Super Bowl LIV (Source: KC Kingdom) Chiefs won the Super Bowl with a 31-20 score, their first since Super Bowl IV and after the AFL-NFL merger in 1970. Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. Buffalo is on the doorstep of reaching the league championship game, thanks to the emergence of Josh Allen as one of the game's best quarterbacks. All rights reserved. Craving even more NFL coverage focusing on previews, recaps, news and analysis? Tennessee's offense is going to have to do most of the work in order to repeat at AFC South champions. And we'll start with the Chiefs: More: Buffalo also went 6-1 in one-score games, including the playoff win over the Colts. The best chance they had and they were wide right. 25. I did not mean to rhyme there. The team that benefited from Norwood's egregious error, the New York Giants, was not particularly exceptional. edit: grammar Ah, the iconic image of Trent Dilfer hoisting his arms in victory. They had one of the league's best defenses that year. Super Bowl MVP Pick. The game did not feature nearly as dramatic an ending as the rest of the top-10, but it was a game full of Hall of Famers all playing at a high level. Maybe the biggest forgotten gem in sports history. They started 1-7, fought back into playoff contention, and cratered down the stretch behind backup QB Colt McCoy.. Baltimore Ravens +1500 (bet $10 to win $160 total), The best team in the rugged AFC North, but the least talked about. 1 pick, Ex-Patriots star McGinest facing eight years in prison, Commanders rip 'blatantly false' team sale report, Last Super Bowl appearance: 2016 (Super Bowl 50), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2017 (Super Bowl LI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1990 (Super Bowl XXIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1995 (Super Bowl XXIX), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1977 (Super Bowl XI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2009 (Super Bowl XLIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2000 (Super Bowl XXXIV), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1994 (Super Bowl XXVIII). Complete team-by-team FPI projections Baltimore is well balanced, with a projected offense and defense (and special teams!) Yes, the New York Giants knocked off the 18-0 New England Patriots. Peyton Mannings struggles reinforced the notion that he could be great in the regular season but collapsed in the playoffs. Cleveland Browns +1700 (bet $10 to win $180 total), Are the Browns a better team than the Cowboys? This defense really let the team down in the biggest game, but they were phenomenal and a top defense throughout the season. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. That's right, a team with Jerry Rice had a running back gain more receiving yards. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. Losing three offensive linemen is gonna sting. This may not be the worst championship team of all time, but these Theyve won 35 regular-season games in the last three seasons for a reason., When narratives build for example, that Lamar Jackson cant win in the playoffs you can find an edge fading them., 1. Stefon Diggs is one of the game's best wide receivers and Gabriel Davis is one of the underrated young wideouts in the league. If Lance does beat out Garoppolo, that would be a sign he is comparable to the veteran, and thus a downgrade might not make sense. What puts Baltimore on this list is the lack of offensive prowess. This game will be decided at quarterback, and the daring superstar who joins Brady as the only quarterback to appear in three Super Bowls in his first six seasons is the pick here. So, which teams have won it all, but look inferior to their championship brethren in retrospect? Unfortunately for them, that stopped in the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. Here's everything we know, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Top QB prospect Levis eager to unleash 'cannon', Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. Brett Favre had 35 passing touchdowns and Dorsey Levens ran for 1,435 yards. ELEVEN! What should have been a great quarterback matchup Marino vs. Montana turned into a blowout as the Dolphins gunslinger couldnt keep up with the 49ers surgeon. Both teams have two of the most talented rosters in the league and look to make an even deeper playoff run -- finally attempting to end title droughts that have lasted more than a half-century. All Rights Reserved. Mahomes becomes the first quarterback to win the regular-season NFL most-valuable-player award and the Super Bowl in the same season in 23 years. The Bengals should be better, but they aren't close to competing for a championship yet -- especially residing in the AFC North. The market is super high on Buffalo theyre only underdogs in two games, vs Tampa and KC but there likely will be some form of regression. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. The Buffalo Bills are coming off their first conference championship game appearance since 1993 while the Cleveland Browns won their first playoff game since 1995. This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. ONCE. Who do you think was the best team to not win a Super Bowl. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. 6) Jon Gruden, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So its only fitting that the winner of Super Bowl 53 will have a defense that finished the regular season below the league average. They were the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, but 28th on defense. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. The Ravens and Browns rank fourth and sixth in FPI rating -- basically true talent level -- but are fifth and seventh in chances to reach the playoffs and win the Super Bowl, respectively. This Super Bowl had it all: An underdog story (Nick Foles), a memorable play (Philly Special), a controversial coaching decision (Belichick benching Malcolm Butler), a ton of points (a record 74 points combined!) Despite the strength of the division, the 49ers play one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league (SOS rank: 29th). Any NFL fan intuitively knows that basing strength of schedule on the previous season's record is a fool's errand because teams' abilities change too much from year to year to go off that, not to mention the fact that a single NFL season is not always a great indicator for the talent of a team. 1 in just about every projection you can imagine, including projected wins (11.5) and chances to reach the playoffs (89%), win their division (72%), be the No. 28. This 1969 Minnesota Vikings team was elite and ranked first for both points scored and points against. 9. Carolina Panthers +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total), The Panthers were a fantastic 8-4 against the spread as an underdog last year, and theyre going to be underdogs frequently again this year. This year, theres a chance theyre 4-0 heading into a week five game against the Cowboys. This is the first game on this list that was actually competitive going into the fourth quarter, but it was a sloppy affair featuring seven fumbles and a pair of interceptions. FPI thinks they take another step forward this season. Here are the 10 most likely Super Bowl LV matchups: The Green Bay Packers are clearly Super Bowl contenders. Follow your favorites to get information about games, news and more, FOX SPORTS, SPEED, SPEED.COM & 2023 Fox Media LLC and Fox Sports Interactive Media, LLC. Super Bowl V between the Baltimore Colts and Dallas Cowboys is often considered the worst Super Bowl ever played simply because of the terrible play from both teams. The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. New York had to scrap its way to the Super Bowl. Sixth-round draft pickTom Brady took over for the injured Drew Bledsoe at quarterback and led the Patriots all the way to the Super Bowl title. More NFL coverage . John Elway finally won his ring in a well-played game that featured one of the best performances by a running back in Super Bowl history. Over the past three years, Cousins is seventh in passer rating (103.6), second in completion percentage (69.03), fifth in passing touchdowns (91), and 10th in yards per attempt (7.77). Cleveland already has one of the game's best pass rushers in Myles Garrett and cornerbacks in Denzel Ward. Just how goofy was this game? Theres a reason teams from the NFC North are so low here, and its the schedule. I have multiple tickets on the Jags - win the division, wins over, win the Super Bowl. The 49ers' projection is based on the assumption that Jimmy Garoppolo is the starting quarterback. Adding Patrick Peterson, Xavier Woods, Sheldon Richardsonand Dalvin Tomlinson in free agency improves this unit -- which also gets Danielle Hunter back from a neck injury. The 1991 Redskins might be the greatest team in NFL history, which bumps this game up a few spots. Pittsburgh Steelers +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Their win total is 8.5, yet Mike Tomlin has never finished under .500 as coach of the Steelers. It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. "Broadway Joe" completed just 49.2 percent of his passes during the season and threw two more interceptions (17) than he did touchdowns (15). In the playoffs, Indianapolis Colts kicker Mike Vanderjagt had to have a meltdown of epic proportions to send the Steelers to the Conference Championship and cover up for Bettis' fumble earlier in the contest. Ranked below are the 20 worst NFL players to win a Super Bowl since 2000. Oh yeah, Marino's offense averaged 32.1 points per game, too. If Watson doesn't play in 2021, the Texans will be competing for the top overall pick in the 2022 draft. ET (Rams, Seahawks, Chargers). The game was won with Ben Roethlisbergers perfect pass to Santonio Holmes, who somehow got two feet down in the back of the end zone. FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense and worst defense in the league. FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. Then Jim was thoroughly outcoached at every point by Sean Payton. Green, but for a young team with a young coach, locker room leadership was needed last year down the stretch when they lost five of seven and missed the playoffs.. You have a few precious hours left to scout rosters, analyze schedules, weigh injuries and place your futures bets on who is going to win Super Bowl 56. Green and Rondale Moore at wide receiver. The Jets just didn't look all that good on their way to the mountaintop. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks all rank in the top half of the most difficult schedules. 27. Atlanta is going to miss Jones' big-play ability -- and has a defense set to give up big plays of its own. For a team with quarterback uncertainty, it could be much worse. Will head coach Zac Taylor actually commit to the run and take the pressure off of Burrow? Burrow should be ready by Week 1, and has an impressive cast of receivers that will make the Bengals passing game even more lethal in 2021. Tennessee already has the game's best running back in Derrick Henry and one of the league's best big-play receivers in A.J. At 133, this defense was nasty by forcing 31 turnovers. Joe Montanas first Super Bowl win was nearly squandered after the 49ers let the Bengals nearly erase a 20-point deficit.