Republicans in Wisconsin said Johnson would do well to craft a message meant to appeal to voters in the middle, nodding to the approach of Virginia Gov. Quarterly polls conducted from 2017-2021 among representative samples of at least 2,517 registered Wisconsin voters, with unweighted margins of error of up to +/-3 percentage points for responses shown. But that isnt likely to be enough in a state that produces such narrow margins of victory. Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson used his rollout to hit the Biden administrations failed response to the COVID-19 pandemic, crime rates and the rising cost of living all issues that give Democrats heartburn. Franklin is professor of law and public policy at Marquette Law School, and director of the Marquette Law School Poll, And we see that downward movement across most of the groups we looked at. In 2014, McConnell also had popularity problems, and Democrats thought they had a top candidate to challenge him in Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes. But as Franklin points out, its really since 2019 that public opinion has grown markedly more negative and polarized over Johnson, and Johnson had already strongly aligned himself with Trump by then. The . Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. Frankly, who cares what you think about Biden, the real question about your thinking is: Do you really believe voters are equally sickened by Biden as they truly are with Trump? Its not crazy to think he could be vulnerable in 2020. A Morning Consult poll earlier this year had Johnson's approval rating at 36 percent. Trump is quite unpopular here. A 2001 industry survey conducted by ``Information Security,'' released on October 16, indicated that out of 2,100 respondents, an overwhelming 89% experienced virus, worms, or trojan breeches in the last three months. The question is: What will those suburban swing voters think? More: The fight over Ron Johnson's US Senate seat will put Wisconsin back in the national spotlight in 2022. Marquette Law School survey shows a decline in Johnson's popularity over the past few years. Barnes tops Johnson by 7 points in Wisconsin Senate race: poll (The Hill), Ron Johnson tries for a rebrand after years of controversy and Democratic attacks (NBC News), 'Out of touch': Wisconsin's Barnes and Johnson prepare for general election campaign defined by attacks (CNN). In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation. Thats not surprising, since were comparing his nine-year polling high point with his nine-year polling low point. Plus 18 to minus 5 among voters in denser, metropolitan suburbs. Phil Scott has not yet announced whether he is running, but it is expected that he will, as of May 12, 2022. A. More money is expected to flow into the race as the candidates barrel toward the November general election. All rights reserved. Jimmy Carter 1977-81. Ron Johnson and His Wife Jane Johnson. Got a confidential news tip? Bemis, a major plastics manufacturer, had appointed Howard Curler as its CEO in 1978, and during the first several years of PACUR's existence, Bemis was the business' sole client. Compared with his peak in popularity in the pre-pandemic year of 2019 when his average favorability rating was plus 10 the downturn is notable. Calculating PARS and PARG is simple: Its just the difference between each states FiveThirtyEight partisan lean2 and the senator or governors net approval rating (approval rating minus disapproval rating). Finally, the two governors with the worst PARGs are Democrats Kate Brown of Oregon (-25) and David Ige of Hawaii (-41). Douglas Rooks, a Maine editor, commentator and reporter since 1984, is the author of three books, and is now researching the life and career of a U.S. Chief Justice. Her net approval rating in the Morning Consult poll has been on the decline over the past two years, but she still has a solid +13 net approval rating. He has been endorsed by well-known political figures including Sens. In that sense, I think we can be quite confident the decline is real, Franklin said. Barnes was expected to have a tougher primary battle up until his top Democratic opponents dropped out late last month, clearing his path to the nomination, NBC projected. Last month, he opposed federal funds to help the American microchip industry compete against China, indicating that he did not want to "have government picking the winners and losers.". Meanwhile, only about 1 in 4 Wisconsin Republicans (27 percent) strongly approve of Johnsons job performance, which is down 9 points since the first three months of his term. Sykes agreed the Democratic Party has what it takes to pull off a victory, but warned that a lot of what happens in November may be out of their control. A Democratic senator with a net approval of +2 in an R+7 state has a PARS of +9 (2+7 = 9). Pay no attention to countless testimonies? When the dates . Unlike this trio, there are some senators whose electoral fates probably do hinge on the presidential race. The poll also did head-to-head matchups of incumbent Republican U.S. That could make it harder for Johnson to improve his standing this time around, since public opinion is firmer. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1420576007798-2'); }); Become a member for $9/month. According to a, As hate crimes against Asian Americans have, Billionaire Elon Musks quest to buy Twitter isnt yet official, but if he is successful, he said this week he will. Today, the Democrat wins, he said. He is also the most unpopular Republican among the broader electorate who is up for re-election next year. They might have been in real danger of losing their seats in 2022, but thankfully for Democrats, both are retiring. He has lost significant ground in the past few years with key voting groups such as women, moderates, independents and suburbanites, including voters in the once lopsided GOP stronghold of the WOW counties outside Milwaukee. Accordingly, the floor is 40%. Tony Earlagainst his four potential Republican challengers, with Evers leading all four and Kleefisch running closest to the governor. and 7% for Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson. Johnson won his bid for a second term that year by 3 points over Democrat Russ Feingold. Tired of seeing banner ads on Urban Milwaukee? Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin had not held office prior to his election to the Senate, being a CEO for a plastics and manufacturing company beforehand. Charlie Baker of Massachusetts, Phil Scott of Vermont and Larry Hogan of Maryland. Wisconsin Democrats are eager to win back the Senate seat, which has been occupied by Republican Sen. Ron Johnson a top conservative foil and ally to former President Donald Trump since he . Partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. This poll paired each of the top four primary candidates against Johnson. Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. That conversation starts with Sen. Doug Jones, who comes in at No. Democrats are banking on Johnsons unpopularity to give them an edge in one of the only contests this year where they stand a chance of knocking off a Republican incumbent as they defend a narrow Senate majority. GOP Love for Johnson Exceeded Only by Democratic Disdain. On the flip side, Republican Sen. Ron Johnson has one of the worst PARS scores (-18); despite his home state of Wisconsin having an R+4 partisan lean, his net approval rating is -14 percentage points. A Democratic governor with a net approval of +2 in an R+7 state has a PARG of +9 (2+7 = 9). Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. He has refused to take responsibility for his unpopularity, claiming in January that it is all the news media's fault. Biden Job Approval on Issues. . Multiple polls also show Johnson's approval ratings underwater. According to a Morning Consult Political Intelligence survey of all 50 states, just 37% of registered Wisconsin voters approve of Johnson, while 51% disapprove. Johnsons ratings were minus 7 last August, minus 6 last October, minus 12 in February of this year and minus 10 in April. Barnes, 35 also has the support of independents, with 52% of respondents backing him over Johnson, a sizable leap from 41% in June. Democratic Gov. Bush 1989-93. But whatever strengths Johnson brings to his bid for a third term, his current standing with the Wisconsin public poses some real perils. Post author: Charles Franklin; Post published: August 17, 2022; Post category: Poll Release . Angus King and Bernie Sanders are considered Democrats for these calculations. And if he is able to maintain a positive net approval rating (its +6 currently), that will be a sign of life for his candidacy. Asked what Johnson is doing to improve his standing, spokeswoman Alexa Henning said his supporters discount mainstream media outlets and see through the lies and distortions of their false attacks. She said the senator had received strong encouragement to forgo his two-term pledge and run for re-election from Wisconsinites who share his grave concerns over the direction Democrats are taking our country.. Wisconsin is one of four states (including Connecticut, Minnesota and Vermont) where voters head to the polls Tuesday to pick the nominees for the general election in November. Ron Johnson's approval ratings are underwater in a swing state that President Joe Biden won. Johnson's approval ratings have decreased in the last few years, according to polling by the Marquette Law School. President Joe Biden narrowly carried Wisconsin in the 2020 election. That said, they are all in very safe states, so they shouldnt be in any danger. -36. Republican Ron Johnson of Wisconsin had the third lowest approval rating (37%) among U.S. But what we cant be as confident about is whether its reversible.. Over the past year, Johnson has suffered through his longest and deepest period of unpopularity since Marquette began polling about him in early 2013 a stretch of 61 statewide polls. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) insisted Sunday that his low approval ratings are not at all his fault and that he is "not a polarizing figure." Johnson made the comments during an interview with journalist Adrienne Pedersen on Milwaukee television . Democrats have zeroed in on Johnson, who is backed by former President Donald Trump, as they fight to hang onto their razor-thin Senate majority. But as Franklin notes, Johnsons growing salience for these voters could help Democratic turnout. Yet, even though his net approval rating has long been underwater, he easily won reelection in 2020 thanks to Kentuckys overwhelming Republican lean. Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. Rife's warrant was served Wednesday and he is awaiting . Dwight D. Eisenhower 1953-61. Faircloth's loss came in a year in which the President, Democrat Bill Clinton, had an approval rating in the 60s. Ronald Reagan, the nation's 40th president, became one of the nation's most revered public figures in recent years, a distinct turnabout from the average job approval ratings he received while in office between 1981 and 1989. The world has been led by intensive and extensive waves of darkness from renaissance all the way down to the Covid crisis. Jones is a Democratic senator in R+27 Alabama, so hes fighting an uphill battle. The state has shifted right since Johnson's 3.4% win in 2016, and on paper, he chould be well positioned to win as a Republican running in a midterm with a Democratic president with low approval ratings. More:'He doesn't understand medicine is a science': Ron Johnson escalates 'guerrilla war' against medical establishment, More:Here are the 11 Democrats in Wisconsin's 2022 U.S. Senate race who are seeking to unseat Ron Johnson. Michels has quickly jumped to the lead in the Republican primary, with 27% of the vote versus 26% for Kleefisch, 10% for former Marine Kevin Nicholson, and 3% for Rep. Timothy Ramthun. With the combine drills about to start from Indianapolis, @TheRealForno has a three-round mock draft to get you excited